Security Challenges And Stagflation Are The Unfortunate Reality In Nigeria And What Are The Solutions?

By
Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,Kent-alumni,UK And Researcher In International Politics—–

Economically speaking, there are only two classes of people in Nigeria today; you either have or you have not. Pure and simple! Most of the poor people in Nigeria prepare to move into eternity rather than continue living in an unbearable economic hardship and precarious condition. Can Tinubu’s “Renewed Hope Agenda” succeed and be imitated by other African nations?

Can APC and President Bola Ahmed Tinubu be able to get Nigeria out of the economic recession, aridity and melting economy as well as security challenges?

Factually, poor people in Nigeria are getting fed up with democracy and accumulating anger in this capitalist ideology of the 21st century called American-centric or American age.

My first point of call is to find out the meaning of security challenges (called insecurity), as defined by experts as well as by the recent dictionaries of contemporary English and other languages.

*Stagflation——-

“1. (economics) Inflation accompanied by stagnant growth, unemployment or recession.

  1. Translations (inflation accompanied by stagnant growth)
    French: stagflation
    German: Stagflation
    Italian: stagflazione
    Portuguese: estagflação
    Russian: стагфляция
    Spanish: estanflación

3.inflation or inflationism

An act, instance of, or state of expansion or increase in size, especially by injection of a gas.The inflation of the balloon took five hours (economics). An increase in the quantity of money, leading to a devaluation of existing money (economics). An increase in the general level of prices or in the cost of living. Due to inflation, the monthly gym fee is rising by 10% from January. (economics) A decline in the value of money. Undue expansion or increase, as of academic grades (cosmology). An extremely rapid expansion of the universe, theorized to have occurred very shortly after the Big Bang. And so on.

*Security challenges or insecurity——-

  1. A lack of security; uncertainty.
    Synonyms: insecureness
    Antonyms: security

A lack of confidence in oneself. Synonyms: insecureness, self-doubt
Antonyms: security, self-assurance, self-confidence.

The state of being subject to danger (physical, economic, or otherwise).
economic insecurity
Synonyms: exposure, insecureness, precariousness, precarity, vulnerability
Antonyms: safety, security.”

*An Analysis of the situation——-

To be continued InshaAllah———

Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,Kent-alumni and Researcher in International Politics and PhD,.Scholar and speciality on Globalization Policy@Skyline,Un,KN

Excessive Heat: People Advised to Take Health Precautionary Measures

By Ibrahim Abdullahi

As the severity of heat temperature keeps increasing, the people of Kano state have been advised to adopt health precautionary measures in order to protect themselves against the negative consequences.

The Kano State Commissioner for Health, Dr. Abubakar Labaran Yusuf gave the advice in a press release issued from the public relations unit of the ministry and made available to the media outfits.

Dr. Labaran stated that the scale of the harsh temperature of heat has begun since March this year causing increase of malaria and mortalities, adding that that was why the ministry of health embarked investigations to unravel the cause.

The Commissioner noted that the people of Kano were very much aware of the fact that these three months – March, April and May, and the beginning of June – were the months of excessive heat that brings about so many health complications, including malaria and meningitis cerebrum.

It could be noted that in the past three month, malaria prevalence has dropped because of winter season, but now the disease is on increase due to severity of the unbearable heat; the temperature has reached the level that it could affect the brain, liver or kidney, so much that if any of these organs is affected by the malaria, death could occur.

“Currently, the intensity of the heat in Kano state is between 43 and 45 degree, and the air in circulation is dry without moisture. This unfavourable condition could cause scratch in the nose of a person which, if unluckily, inhale diseases causing meningitis and go to his brain, he could contract meningitis. That was the reason people are witnessing an increased of fever, severe headache, fainting, and loss of life,” said Dr. Labaran.

He also noted that the excessive heat brings what is called heat-stroke as a result of shortage of blood and water in the body, which causes brain damage, especially among elderly people and those working under the sun.

The Commissioner then advised people to ensure that they protect themselves against mosquito’s bites through sleeping under the treated nets, covering doors and windows with nets to block mosquito from entering the rooms, use of insecticides, etc.

He also urged them to report any person with symptoms of malaria to the health facility for timely treatment, stressing that people should not allow the case to reach that level which nothing could be done to arrest it.

On meningitis cerebrum, Dr. Labaran called on people to shun overcrowdings in rooms and halls especially those with little ventilation system, adding that as soon as person is noticed with severe fever and headache should henceforth be taken to the hospital to ascertaining that he did not contract meningitis.

He further called on medical doctors to examine patient brought with fever thoroughly to ensure he is free from meningitis, not assuming that it is just malaria, frowning that if meningitis is allowed one to two days in a body of a person could cause death.

The commissioner advised people, especially those working under the sun to be consuming much water and get enough rest in order to avoid heat-stroke, assuring that this will help in safeguarding a person against the potential danger.

Signed:
*Ibrahim Abdullahi*
Information Officer
Ministry of Health
25 April 2024

271 Students Conveys to 10 Northern States Under KNSG Students Exchange Programme

By Balarabe Abdullahi Kiru

Kano State Government  has conveyed first batch of 271 Students to 10 Northern States under the Students Exchange Programme for the commencement of 3rd term 2023/2024 academic session.

The 10 Northern States include Bauchi, Benue, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, Sokoto, Taraba and Katsina State.

A statement issued to the Newsmen by the Director Public Enlightenment Kano State Ministry of Education Balarabe Abdullahi Kiru announced that the remaining 120 Students under the programme would be conveyed to Yobe, Kebbi, Borno, Adamawa and Gombe State by next week.

The statement added that the administration of Alhaji Abba Kabir Yusuf had provided enough fund to ensure that the programme succeeded by conveying all the Students to their respective states in good time.

” This is part of the present administration effort to make the programme one of the best in all the Northern States considering the role it plays in promoting unity, social and cultural interaction among the participating States ” the statement explained.

KNSG Dissolves ANCOPSS Executives, Appoints New Caretakers

By Balarabe Abdullahi Kiru

Kano State Ministry of Education has announced the dissolution of the State Executives of the All Nigerian Confideration of Principals of Secondary Schools (ANCOPSS).

The State Commissioner of Education Alhaji Umar Haruna Doguwa who made this known while inaugurating the new caretakers of the association, maintained that the action was part of the effort to ensure that members of all associations under the ministry are duly elected.

Umar Doguwa therefore explained that the new caretakers members of ANCOPSS were constituted to serve for a period of 3 months in preparation for the election of the executive members of the association.

” As you are all aware, the present administration has keen interest towards overall development of the education sector. On the 6th May of this year, the governor of Kano State Alhaji Abba Kabir Yusuf, will pronounce the declaration of a state of emergency in the education sector and by this declaration, education is going to be the first area of government priority.

” So, while talking about education, you have to look at three basic components which include the students, the teachers and teaching materials. So, this government is doing everything possible to ensure that all these components are giving the needed attention.

” In doing this, we equally need to carry all our teachers along and this can only be done under a well organized and elected association. This brings us to the issue of ANCOPSS. As we are trying to promote the welfare of our teachers, we need to have good leadership that unites all the teachers to work as a team to achieve quality education in the state ” he stated.

Doguwa disclosed that the new constituted caretakers members of the ANCOPSS are Uwani Balarabe as President, Mansur Liman Rano 1st Vice President, Dije Ado 2nd Vice President, Dahiru Habibu Secretary General and Ado Shuaibu as Financial Secretary.

Other members, according to Doguwa are Rumasa’u Abdullahi Treasurer, Dahiru Abdu Tofa PRO, Alkasim Ayuba Auditor General, Ahmad Abdullahi Asst.
PRO, Farida Abubakar Asst. Secretary, Hasina Bashir Yusuf Editor in Chief and Auwal Ali Yalwa Asst. Editor in Chief.

The remaining members include Garba Muhammad Legal Adviser, Sa’adatu Mudi Orator, Ladidi Y. Dangwoggo Ex- official I, Amina Bello Ibrahim Ex-official II and Idaho Yusha’u Abubakar Ex-official III.

The Commissioner explained that their appointment was based on merit, he therefore tasked them to discharge their duty diligently.

Balarabe Abdullahi Kiru
Director Public Enlightenment
Ministry of Education, Kano State
23rd April, 2024.

“We will Enhances PHC Services In Kano State”— SSA PHCMB Hon. Hauwa Ibrahim

By Our Correspondent

The New Senior Special Assitant to the Executive Governor of Ksno State on Primary Health Care Hon. Hauwa Ibrahim Kadon Kaya has assumed office.
In her remarks shortly after she was escorted by well wishers to the Board Headquarters, the New SSA Hon. Hauwa Kadon Gaya reaafirmed her commitment to enhance primary health care services in the state as part of commitment of the presrnt administration political well for the upliftment of the health sector in general.
She therefore expressed the need for the staff of the board to give her all the necessary support and coopetation to ensble her achieve the set goals.
The New SSA then thank the Executive Governor of Kano State Abba Kabir Yusuf for the appoitment and assured that, she will do everything possible to enhance the primary health care in the state.

KNSG INAUGURATE EXPERTS COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL ELECTRICITY ACT 2023

By Musa Tanko Muhammad

Kano State Government has inaugurated a committee of experts to guide government on how to derive benefits from the National Electricity Act 2023

Inaugurating the committee in his office, the Secretary to the State Government, Dr Abdullahi Baffa Bichi assured that because both human and natural resources would be mobilized toward realising the objectives.

He stated that it is high time people bid farewell to redundancy and over dependence on government for livelihood, adding that this is achievable only if government ensures constant energy supply for both domestic and industrial consumption leading to more prosperity in the society which is the core objective of the present administration.

According to the SSG, the present administration is determined to create more wealth and happiness in Kano State and this is achievable considering our natural and human resources.

Dr. Bichi expressed dismay that most industries in the state have closed due to epileptic power supply making us importers instead of producers.

He pointed out that this is why the state government constituted the committee comprising experts in the energy sector to offer recommendations on how to achieve a turn-around in the power sector in the state.

The committee is tasked with the responsibility of facilitating the participation of the state in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity and adopting energy policies for available infrastructure in order to address their unique challenges. The committee should also guide government on how best to tap the available benefits from the enacted 2023 National Electricity Act, among others.

The committee is chaired by the Commissioner for Works and Housing, Engr. Marwan Ahmad Aminu while Engr. AbdulJabbar Muhammad Nanono, Senior Special Assistant, Energy and Power, Kano State is the secretary.

In his acceptance speech, the chairman of the committee, Engr. Marwan Ahmad Aminu expressed appreciation to Governor Abba Kabir Yusif for the confidence reposed in them.

He assured that the committee members would do their best in carrying out the assignment.

Is Iran The Lion, The Giant And The Power To Beat In The Middle East And On The Other Hand Turkey Or Israel? ——-3


By Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,Kent Uni-alumni,UK And Researcher In International Politics

Before the current escalations of war between Israel and Tehran many analysts, researchers and experts in the Middle East do believe that Israel is the giant and nuclear power in the Middle East.

The author of the book titled “The Next 100 Years” George Friedman, 2009, USA” predicted that “By the middle of the century, Turkey’s influence will extend deep into Russia and the Balkans, where it will collide with Poland and the rest of the Eastern European coalition. It will also become a major Mediterranean power, controlling the Suez Canal and projecting its strength into the Persian Gulf. Turkey  will frighten the Poles, the Indians, the Israelis, and above all the United States of America.” 

Meaning, Turkey will dominate the political power, military strength and economic interplay in the Middle Eastern parts of the world and Eastern Europe. That’s to say Turkey may emerge as a regional power in the Middle East than Iran and Israel. Can this scholarly predictions be a reality in the years to come? Although, Professor George Friedman’s wish is for his grandsons in the future to say that the prediction of the grandpa is “50% very correct” George Friedman, 2009.

Another question one may need to know is what of the Israelis, the untouchable country in the Middle East? Because it seems as if they are the lone nuclear power in the region. Will Turkey’s influence in the Middle East supersede the power of Iran and Israel in the region despite the nuclear power race in the region?

This question is for the fact that Tehran have been struggling to build nuclear power plants since 1953 during the regime of the late Reza Pahlavi. The question now that bubbles in the mind of experts; is Tehran now has the nuclear power in the Middle East or not? This question is indeed imperative for the fact that American President Joe Biden has warned Israel not to retaliate against the attack made by Iran a week ago. Why was the warning for Israelis not to retaliate by the USA? And again, why Israel made a peripheral retaliatory attack against Tehran with only 3 drones and why not directly by nuclear power plants sites?

*Iran as a power in the Middle East why USA +5 negotiation on  Iran nuclear dispute failed in Geneva years ago?

For over 60 years, the issue of Tehran’s Nuclear dispute with western world has failed to bring any meaningful and mutually negotiated agreement. But, the question one may ask; is the failure due to violation of rules and principles of negotiation and mediation? Why all the time deadlock/impasse? Egocentric tendency? Just political rhetoric from both sides?

This analysis, therefore, attempts to survey some of the key elements and identify a number of methods that the protagonists can use in a mediation and negotiation process.

The nuclear program of Iran was initiated in the early 1950s with support of US/European Nations. Essentially the aim was for the Iran Government to establish atomic energy for peaceful, not military purposes.

Prior to the 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran, USA and Western European Nations helped and encouraged Iran to establish nuclear power plants in Bushehr 1 and Bushehr 2 (water reactor) which were expected to be operational in 2009. The former leader of Iran, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi had approved plans to construct nuclear stations using German companies.

After the 1979 Islamic revolution, USA and EU changed gear for the fear that Iran may turn the plants to attain nuclear power for military purposes. The Islamic Republic of Iran approached many countries (not only Western Nations) with their ambitions to attain nuclear capacity.

Countries such as Mexico, Brazil, China, Russia and South Africa entered into contracts to support the nuclear programme of Tehran. At the same time Iran is subject to international legal frameworks. “Tehran signed the NuclearNon-Proliferation Treaty in 1968 and ratified it in 1970 making Iran nuclear power subject to the approval of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).” In recent years the conflict/dispute has accelerated. In the latter part of 2009 statements and counter statements have taken place through the United Nations (UN) mechanisms and the press.

In February 2009 IAEA Board of Governors reported that, “Contrary to the decisions of the Security Council, Iran has not suspended its enrichment related activities” . According to the report, Iran refused to give details of its enrichment activities to the IAEA inspectors. Another question is, is Iran (now) a nuclear power in the Middle East or not?

However, the US/EU states tend to favor diplomatic routes over military threats.  It should not be ignored that both the US and EU also have long term foreign policy and strategic energy interests in the Middle East of the world region. The Middle East Region is a darling and lovely area for resource benefits as per as Americans and Europeans are concerned.

On the other hand Russia has strong interests in Iran (even  any Iranian President used to regularly pay visit to  Russia) due to its political and trade links; there is close cooperation in the areas of nuclear power, energy and arms. In a recent article published in a Russian newspaper (cited in China org article ) Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, said: “It would hurt both Russia and Iran politically and economically if sanctions against Iran were to be imposed.” Despite the Ukrainian war with Russia still the Russians have a strong influence in Tehran that a negotiable approach can be tried again and again.

Therefore Russia could be a potential ally in pushing Iran in negotiations if it believes it will help ensure the ongoing successful implementation of the nuclear energy programme and Iran’s ability to trade internationally and all UN sanctions be lifted.

To be continued InshaAllah, Bi’iznillah—

Dr. Abbati Bako,psc,bsis Kent-alumni,UK,the lone UK’s European University, and Researcher In International Politics and PhD,.scholar/speciality on Globalization Policy@Skyline University, Kano, Nigeria—–

KNSG Approves 3rd Term Assumption Day For Schools

By Balarabe A. Kiru

Kano State Ministry of Education has approved tomorrow Sunday 21st April, 2024 as the resumption date for all Boarding Public/Private Primary and Post Primary Schools in the State for the commencement of 2023/2024 third term academic session.

Whie Pupils and Students in Day schools across the state are to resume on Monday 22nd April, 2024 respectively.

A statement signed by the Director Public Enlightenment of the Ministry Balarabe Abdullahi Kiru, calls on Parents/Guardians of Students to take note of the resumption date to ensure total compliance.

It however, warns that appropriate Disciplinary Action would be taken against defaulting Students/Pupils.

The statement quoted the state Commissioner of Education Alhaji Umar Haruna Doguwa reaffirming commitment of the present administration in ensuring that every child has access to quality education.

” Kano State Government is putting everything in place to bring positive changes towards creating conducive learning environment that inspire and empower students to excel academically ” the statement added.

It further quoted the Commissioner wishing both teachers, students and pupils for successful 3rd term academic session, stressing that intensive routine monitoring exercise would still be on course to ensure staff punctuality and efficiency.

700M US DOLLARS Agro resilience  In Semi Arid Landscape Holds First Review Mission in Jigawa

By Ismail Muhammad
The  National coordinator of the Agro Climatic Resilience in Semi Arid  Landscapes  [ACRESAL] holds  its  first Technical support mission   in Dutse , the capital of  the state from Monday to Friday , APRIL 2024 where participating  Seven Northern States attended  and  successes recorded have assessed .

Speaking to newsmen after the opening programme, the National Coordinator of the programme Alhaji  Abdulhamid Umar  disclosed that it was the World bank funded programme in collaboration with the Federal government of Nigeria which seven Northern states were participating .

He  mentioned that, the World Bank has set aside the whopping sum of 700 Million   Us dollars to finance the project while the Federal government has already  paid its sovereign  funds  adding that two years since its inception, the programme gone way in boosting Agriculture  and National food security .

He said the participants of the session have visited community and watersheds at Hadejia and Ringim local government areas of Jigawa state where they expressed satisfaction with the progress so far  recorded, adding that many farmers along watersheds had complained on lack of insurance to save guard their commodities  from losses was their major set back

Alhaji Abdulhamid said the major problem in Jigawa State  was annual flooding  and assured the farmers whose crops were devastated  by the flood that soon when they gone back to Abuja they meet with the Nigerian meteorological Agency   [NIMET] which focuses the amount of Rainfall of each  state for advice and guidance  before  they commence disbursing the revolving loan  to communities RFL stating that the money is there in stock, pointed out that, they will soon start disbursing them to mitigate the problems  of the farmers participating   in  the project.     

The  coordinator pointed out that  the main aim of the programme was  to uplift  fro poor farmers from the  shackles’  of poverty .

In his welcome address, the Jigawa state  programme coordinator Malam Yahaya  UIba said that jigawa has large scale arming families  who involved in farming Activities and business adding they joined hands together to archive  a success.

MalmYahaya  Uba  disclosed  further  that since the inception of the programme two years a go in the state  they enjoyed the support and assistance from the   state governor Malam Umar Namadi and then appreciated the support for its full take  up

Iran VS Israel: Regional War In The Middle East And That Can Lead To Nuclear World War 111?


By
Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,Kent-alumni,UK’s European University—–

The UN, EU and USA must try to find solutions to this chronic war and dispute between Israel and Palestine. If the war escalate as a regional war; that can change the history of the world.

This simple fact can be made into reality when the war affects each and every Continents of the world. On the other hand the world economy and global economic security as well as social and global political brouhaha may change color into undesirable tests.

Tehran and the Western world’s dispute has been ongoing since 1953 during the Shah Reza Pahlavi; since then the issue of nuclear power plants has not been resolved. Is the future of negotiation and mediation possible? Or will negotiation still meet the impasse? Will Diplomats succeed in convincing Tehran to accept the terms and conditions of the USA and Western world, especially the reduction of centrifuges? Will the usual crisis between Israel and Hamas affect the future negotiation and mediation? And again, shall the last week visit of President Joe Biden pave the way to finding a permanent solution to the unsolved problem? And again, the retaliatory attacks on Israel last week by Tehran can lead to regional war in the Middle East and extension to be a world war 111?

*Strategies for Negotiation between Israel and Palestine

In his excellent writing, William Zartman observes that “successful mediation means containing and mending. The mediator must be able to block the impending or escalating conflict, draw the parties away from conflicting perceptions and action, and bring them together in a more harmonious relationship so that conflict only halts but is prevented from recurring”.

So, redoubling efforts of the United Nations, IAEA, Russia, S/Arabia, China, Qatar, Egypt, UAE NGOs and other global stakeholders may bring permanent solutions to the problem.

Last week’s visit of the US’s Foreign Secretary to Israel, Egypt, Saudi Arabia should create ways and means for the possibility of avoiding regional war in the Middle East and Nuclear weapons’ competition. If crises break out in the Middle East (20% of global oil is deposited in the Middle East) the world economy will not only be melted but will completely be destroyed. Because the current war between Russia and Ukraine will be a child play compared to the one in the Middle East. Ninety percent of global economic interplay and viability comes from trade and services; oil is the wheel.

Recommendations for future negotiations—–

Considering the now lengthy history of negotiations, threats, incentives and broken promises it seems difficult to offer new approaches for the future in the Middle East. Nevertheless, we can identify a few promising routes to improve the likelihood that negotiations and mediation will deliver a solution to the conflict in the Middle East’s future. Realistically, solutions must be found via Track One diplomacy – where the governments must sit down and develop a solution.

However Track Two, which involves civil society actors, can play a role in providing analysis and intelligence into the situations in each country, and address the possible data conflicts that occur .

1. The UN, EU and US must involve China and Russia in the negotiations with Iran regarding their nuclear program and the war between Israel and Palestine. Although the current war between Russia and Ukraine may be another reason to make things very difficult for China and possibly India can play an important role in finding solutions to the issue between Israel and Palestine as well as the issue of nuclear power.

Although China and Russia have their own agendas and support Iran in a way that the US and EU-3 stakeholders do not agree with, all countries have an interest to avoid tough economic sanctions, or a nuclear arms race in the middle east. For this reason it is recommended that they are brought into negotiations, and use their links with the Iranian government to bring them to the negotiation table.

2. The USA should focus on finding alternatives and offers. The EU should continue to pursue diplomatic dialogue with Tehran and warn Israel not to retaliate against the attack made last week by Tehran.

As negotiation theorists tell us that “most research tends to reveal that problem solving produces greater flexibility and more frequent, efficient, equitable, and durable agreements than bargain does.” The goal of the US is for a long-term agreement with the Iranian government about their nuclear program that will guarantee international stability and stability in the Middle East, therefore, more options and flexibility is required.

At the point when Iran is showing real interest in economic incentives – such as those put forward by the EU it will be essential that the US supports such an offer from its own side. It is unlikely that Iran will give up its military objectives without a sizable economic offer at the table . As the above analysis also shows, Iran has strong internal pressures to find economic solutions, over time this may push the Iranians towards the negotiating table in search for trade benefits. Other possible incentives could include: compensating Tehran with other technological means to generate energy. By compromising with them to construct hydro-electric stations at
different locations in the country may offer more hope for negotiation.

Other issues such as lifting over 500 UN’s sanctions against Tehran, releasing their frozen account reserves and assets and so on, could facilitate a rapid compromise. Also, the issue of two states solution between Israel and Palestine.

3. The USA should cool down the debate (during the negotiation/meditation) by use of calmer language. This will give a lot of hope.

The US also needs to recognize that threats have not brought results over the last decades of years. Therefore, the moves by the EU; especially France and other stakeholders to try and bring Iran to the table should be encouraged, and the USA should reduce its public statements against Iran and in particular should recognize its sovereignty over its territory.

The USA could also put pressure on Israel to cool down the situation in Palestine to reduce the pressure on Iran to speed up its weapons developments and show its defiance. And again, the last week’s promise made by President Joe Biden to support Palestine with palliatives for their is a significant move indeed.

Also, the idea of Joe Biden about “two states solution” is a plus in the permanent peace in the Middle East.

4. Iran should agree to the current offers and seek to develop alternative incentives to maintain peace and credibility with its people.

5. Although reaching an agreement may not be easy but EU/USA can give a trial. Try is better than I cannot!

Consequences of Agreement or Non Agreement—–

If the above strategies are successful or fail it would imply a series of actions and consequences for the parties in the Middle East. Here we evaluate the implications and cost/benefits of agreement or non-agreement.

Agreement—–

If an agreement is reached – following up on already negotiated lines that will allow Iran to maintain a nuclear energy programme but also demonstrate economic benefits for its population it would have the following implications:-

– Increased economic inputs by the West, with potential for long term economic agreements of mutual benefit to Iranian and US/European businesses.

– Continued and improved access to Iranian markets by Russia and China, allowing them to continue their economic relations.

– Increased status for Iran in international relations and a potential ‘reputation dividend’ with Western governments being more willing to openly dialogue with the Iranian government, including on mutually interesting foreign policy objectives (such as peace in neighboring states).

– Full implementation of the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty and an increased pressure worldwide to reduce nuclear weaponry.

None agreement:-

If no agreement can be found it is likely that it will have the following effects.

– Final closure of relations with Western states that would be difficult to overcome in future hypothetical relations.

– A probable arms race within the Middle East. An analyst in the Economist states that Middle Eastern countries are “Quote” Israel has demonstrated willingness to attack missile and nuclear sites in neighboring countries before and is likely to do so again.

– Increased anxiety amongst world allies of terrorist threats, not only in the middle-east, but around the world. For example close allies of the US such as Israel, Turkey and Saudi Arabia could be at risk and nuclear substances could be in the hands of terrorists.

– Interruption of the oil flow if interests of Middle Eastern countries are diverted elsewhere (arms race and terrorist threat) that could affect all world economies.
– Increased tension in world politics that also diverts world player’s attention on to non-productive solutions: such as increased use of sanctions, military threats etc. History demonstrates that this approaches have been unsuccessful in generating changes in regimes, rather, they tend to solidify positions on both sides of the negotiating table.

Daniel Dana observes that “abstinence from communication is the essence of conflict, without doubt, no resolution is possible without communication”.

So, the most important point at this juncture is to make tentative agreement via negotiation/mediation with Tehran, UN, US, EU legitimately, IAEA or nongovernmental organizations should play a mediating role.

Also some influential leaders especially from the Middle-East could be involved. Countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, and India may give indirect assistance in finding a lasting solution to the dispute and war between Israel and Palestine.

Another option which has to be put into use is the best alternative to a negotiation agreement (BATNA).

*Conclusion:
Problem negotiation with Iran is – who’s in charge? With what agenda? And the main mediator? And again, the late Ayatollah Khomeini of Iran (once) opined that nuclear enrichment is a fundamental right of Tehran”. Could and should mutually and acceptable agreement be reached in the future negotiation and mediation between Tehran and Western World/USA? Or on the other hand the current war between Russia and Ukraine will block as well as Plastinians and Israel all means of hope to solve the dispute.

The world is watching!

Abbati Bako,psc,bsis,UK,Kent-alumni and Political Strategy and Communication Consultant/Researcher in International Politics,PhD.,Scholar in Skyline University, Kano, Nigeria

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